EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT (Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET)

Kalshi Closes Fri 5:00 PM ET · 21.00 contracts · prices read 26 min ago

The odds

1.1171median

EUR/USD now 1.1178 +0.16%

1.09501.1370

Median 1.1171Middle half 1.1123 – 1.1224Above today's price 47%

How the odds have moved

Median: 1.1172 on Oct 13, 1.1171 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Above 1.097	98%		95¢
Above 1.099	97%		94¢	99¢
Above 1.101	97%		94¢	99¢
Above 1.103	95%		92¢	98¢
Above 1.105	94%		90¢	98¢
Above 1.107	91%		87¢	95¢
Above 1.109	87%		82¢	92¢
Above 1.111	80%		75¢	85¢
Above 1.113	72%		67¢	77¢
Above 1.115	62%		57¢	66¢
Above 1.117	51%		46¢	55¢
Above 1.119	41%		36¢	46¢
Above 1.121	31%		26¢	36¢
Above 1.123	23%		18¢	27¢	21.00
Above 1.125	15%		10¢	20¢
Above 1.127	11%		7¢	15¢
Above 1.129	7%		3¢	11¢
Above 1.131	5%		2¢	8¢
Above 1.133	4%		1¢	7¢
Above 1.135	4%		1¢	6¢

More on this question

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EUR/USD price range on Oct 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?

1.1171median

1.10401.1340

Median 1.1171Middle half 1.1150 – 1.1191Above today's price 40%

EURUSD=X+0.16%FXE−0.37%

Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?

51%↓ 1.10

Traders see as low as 1.0988.

Reaches 1.200021%
Reaches 1.220012%
Reaches 1.24005%
Reaches 1.26005%

Falls to 1.100051%
Falls to 1.05008%
Falls to 1.00007%

Already reached: ↓ 1.16, ↓ 1.14, ↓ 1.12

EURUSD=X+0.16%FXE−0.37%

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

91%No change

No change91%▼ 1
25 bps increase8%▲ 3
50+ bps decrease<1%
25 bps decrease<1%

1 more

50+ bps increase<1%

EURJPY=X−0.02%EURGBP=X−0.13%

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

22%chance

EURUSD=X+0.16%

European Central Bank rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)

72%Hike 1-25bps

Hike 1-25bps72%
Maintain current rate20%
Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1
Cut more than 25bps2%▲ 1

1 more

Cut 1-25bps2%

EURGBP=X−0.13%EURUSD=X+0.16%

What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?

103.16high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 103.16 and as low as 101.68.

Reaches 103.0059%
Reaches 103.5032%
Reaches 104.0012%
Reaches 104.508%

Falls to 102.0069%
Falls to 101.5039%
Falls to 101.0017%
Falls to 100.5010%

Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00

DX-Y.NYB−0.04%UUP+0.38%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onPyth - EURUSD

Trading closesOct 16, 2026 5:00 PM ET

Traded21.00 contracts

Prices read26 min ago

Followed sinceOct 12, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

What it is about

EUR/USDEURUSD=X · settles on its price1.1178+0.16%
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro CurFXE · tracks it102.99−0.37%

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.