How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Oct 30 · 35.3K contracts · prices read 38 min ago

The odds

5.52%median
30Y Yield now 5.598 −0.04%
5.34%5.62%
Median 5.52%Middle half 5.41% – 5.57%Above today's price 4%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
5.34% or below 93% ▲ 3 85¢ 99¢ 936
5.35% or below 89% 66¢ 123
5.36% or below 89% 64¢ 29.00
5.37% or below 89% 63¢ 96¢ 276
5.38% or below 89% 60¢ 4.00
5.39% or below 83% 58¢ 99¢ 248
5.4% or below 68% 54¢ 371
5.41% or below 68% 52¢ 66.00
5.42% or below 68% 49¢ 99¢ 256
5.43% or below 68% ▼ 2 44¢ 525
5.44% or below 68% ▲ 36 42¢ 478
5.45% or below 68% ▲ 1 45¢ 87¢ 1.0K
5.46% or below 68% 47¢ 801
5.47% or below 68% 42¢ 233
5.48% or below 68% ▲ 41 41¢ 94¢ 629
5.49% or below 61% 36¢ 88¢ 631
5.5% or below 60% 34¢ 92¢ 696
5.51% or below 53% 31¢ 93¢ 1.4K
5.52% or below 46% ▼ 8 20¢ 50¢ 1.6K
5.53% or below 46% ▼ 43 17¢ 94¢ 705
5.54% or below 44% ▲ 26 21¢ 66¢ 1.6K
5.55% or below 35% ▲ 21 23¢ 884
5.56% or below 16% 22¢ 541
5.57% or below 5% ▼ 10 10¢ 1.1K
5.58% or below 4% ▼ 12 8¢ 784
5.59% or below 4% ▼ 11 9¢ 3.1K
5.6% or below 1% 1¢ 2.5K
✓ 5.61% or below 1% 6.8K
✓ 5.62% or below 1% 4.2K
✓ 5.63% or below 1% 2.7K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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