How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
5.06%median
4.85%5.12%
Median 5.06%Middle half 4.97% – 5.09%
Install
How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
The odds
32%4.93% or above
4.91%5.22%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.93% or above | 32% | 51¢ | 443 | ||
| 4.94% or above | 32% | 51¢ | 778 | ||
| 4.95% or above | 27% | 50¢ | 1.3K | ||
| 4.96% or above | 24% | 49¢ | 448 | ||
| 4.97% or above | 21% | 48¢ | 400 | ||
| 4.98% or above | 21% | 46¢ | 435 | ||
| 4.99% or above | 20% | 44¢ | 446 | ||
| 5% or above | 17% | 41¢ | 978 | ||
| 5.01% or above | 17% | 1¢ | 24¢ | 2.3K | |
| 5.02% or above | 17% | 39¢ | 966 | ||
| 5.03% or above | 13% | 37¢ | 1.6K | ||
| 5.04% or above | 12% | 35¢ | 488 | ||
| 5.05% or above | 11% | 34¢ | 351 | ||
| 5.06% or above | 10% | 32¢ | 400 | ||
| 5.07% or above | 9% | 31¢ | 400 | ||
| 5.08% or above | 9% | ▼ 1 | 29¢ | 400 | |
| 5.09% or above | 9% | 30¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.1% or above | 9% | 28¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.11% or above | 9% | 27¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.12% or above | 9% | 25¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.16% or above | 9% | 20¢ | 250 | ||
| 5.17% or above | 9% | 19¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.18% or above | 9% | 20¢ | 221 | ||
| 5.19% or above | 9% | 17¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.2% or above | 9% | 16¢ | 331 | ||
| 5.21% or above | 9% | 14¢ | 1.4K | ||
| 5.22% or above | 9% | 15¢ | 656 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
4.71%median
4.62%4.76%
Median 4.71%
How high will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
5.21%median
5.18%5.45%
Median 5.21%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
4.92%median
4.83%5.35%
Median 4.92%Middle half 4.86% – 5%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
35%Below 4.40%
4.35%4.76%
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
5.09%median
4.93%5.31%
Median 5.09%Middle half 5.02% – 5.18%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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