24+ min ago  (1078+ words) This article contains spoilers for At the Mountains of Madness, The Case of Charles Dexter Ward, and other works by H. P. Lovecraft. "...

1+ hour, 6+ min ago  (304+ words) The implication of this is that it is very hard to have one concrete AI risk argument I can read and respond to. It is difficult to form opinions on AI safety when most experts are in great disagreement about…...

1+ hour, 37+ min ago  (1088+ words) In a recent podcast episode published July 20, 2025, Anthropic co-founder Ben Mann is asked (at 48: 43) "What are the odds that we align AI correctly and actually solve this problem?" In his answer, Ben references the following part of Anthropic's March 8, 2023 blog…...

1+ hour, 15+ min ago  (1067+ words) In outline, the moral skeptic's challenge goes: To respond, one must either refute the skeptical hypothesis or identify an extra-moral reason to accept morality. Without a response, one's acceptance of morality is unjustified. This position threatens to be reflectively destabilizing…...

2+ hour, 46+ min ago  (726+ words) If the box contains a diamond, I desire to believe that the box contains a diamond; If the box does not contain a diamond right now, but will contain a diamond if I believe there is a diamond, Holding unfounded…...

3+ hour, 55+ min ago  (872+ words) I spent the last two days doing a deep dive in forecasting outcomes of the US forcing Anthropic to take down Claude Fable. I did this for two reasons...

5+ hour, 38+ min ago  (463+ words) These are some personal notes taken and later dressed up a bit to make into a post. Dunno how much value is here for people already familiar with the AI Safety Ecosystem. I believe MATS will be publishing the results…...

7+ hour, 47+ min ago  (245+ words) I'm not aware of a good list of downside risks for AI safety broadly[1], so I decided to make one. This is not intended to be fully comprehensive, these are just the ones that I personally take seriously[2][3]: (This list…...

11+ hour, 37+ min ago  (916+ words) Asset futarchy is attractive because it lets markets compare a proposal's expected effect on token value. That comparison is only reliable when conditional prices track the proposal's causal effect rather than strategic behavior around the decision rule. The attacks below…...

8+ hour, 15+ min ago  (1001+ words) I believe that internet culture influences real culture much more than the other way around. This is quite hard to prove, but I often see an idea start to come up in real-life conversations where I've seen it appear on…...