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News
How Technical Do You Want to Be?
1+ day, 11+ hour ago (529+ words) There are always multiple technical lenses through which to view market movement, but the simplest involve trendlines and level lines. Yield movement has largely held inside the same high/low trendlines since October 2025, so that's a useful trend to keep…...
New Home Sales Regain Some Lost Ground
1+ day, 13+ hour ago (521+ words) New home sales rebounded modestly in June, recovering some of the previous month's decline, though activity remained below year-ago levels as elevated mortgage rates and affordability challenges continued to weigh on demand. According to the latest Census Bureau and HUD…...
Mortgage Rates Recover Modestly From Long-Term Highs
1+ day, 11+ hour ago (397+ words) If you're just tuning in, mortgage rates had a rough day yesterday on top of a rough week overall. The result was the highest 30yr fixed rate in over a year with our index moving up to 6.85%. As has been and…...
Refis Take a Back Seat as Purchase Demand Rebounds
1+ day, 13+ hour ago (192+ words) Mortgage application activity rebounded last week as stronger home purchase demand offset a modest decline in refinancing, even with borrowing costs climbing to their highest level since last August. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 1.9% increase in total application…...
Token Support in Bonds After Oil Drops Overnight
1+ day, 16+ hour ago (269+ words) It's a straightforward morning in the bond market. We're not seeing any of the sorts of "unseen hand" trading that accounted for the timing of yesterday's pre-market weakness. We simply have oil prices erasing about half of yesterday's rise. Bond…...
AI, Non-QM Products; Deep Dive on AI; Morgan Stanley Interview on Risk
1+ day, 15+ hour ago (1572+ words) Odds are, anything you buy was transported using diesel fuel, the price of which has shot up after Russia banned exports of it, impacting farmers, trains, trucks… kind of nearly everything. Today is “Pie and Beer” Day in Utah, aka…...
Bonds Not Keen To Catch Falling Knives
2+ day, 9+ hour ago (519+ words) Oil lurched higher again overnight which kept generalized pressure on the bond market and the Fed rate outlook. The nearness to long-term highs had traders feeling very reluctant to step in and "buy the dip" in bond prices. This is…...
Highest Rates in Over a Year, But There's a Silver Lining
2+ day, 13+ hour ago (239+ words) Mortgage moved higher today, and while the jump was no larger than the one seen on Monday, both were 'above average' and both took rates in the wrong direction. In addition, the steady weakness throughout the month of July finally…...
Hedging, VantageScore 4.0, AI Accounting, Non-QM, Reverse Products; Higher Oil, Higher Rates
2+ day, 15+ hour ago (422+ words) There are only twelve (12) legislative days left until the November election, and today on The Big Picture attorney Mitch Kider and I will discuss what that means for lenders as well as other regulatory topics. Rates aren’t doing much. Deals…...
Mortgage Rates Inch Up to 11-Month High
3+ day, 10+ hour ago (416+ words) We have bad news and slightly less bad news. Starting with the latter, today's mortgage rates are only marginally higher than they were yesterday with the average top tier 30yr fixed rate up 0.02%. The bad news is that this takes our…...