17+ hour, 59+ min ago  (365+ words) A year ago, Canadians re-elected the Liberals to a fourth term. It looked counterintuitive, but the data was clear. Voters were not renewing their affection for a decade-old government. They were responding to uncertainty and choosing a different kind of…...

2+ day, 17+ hour ago  (550+ words) At the ballot box, the party now holds a 9-point lead over the Conservatives among decided voters, 45% to 36%. That is an expansion from earlier in April and reflects a modest but meaningful shift in their favour. Among those most certain…...

2+ week, 3+ day ago  (199+ words) Subscribe as a paid supporter today to get access to these longer form essays and the entire catalogue of analysis. Then Donald Trump was inaugurated and continued his rhetorical annexing Canada by tweet. What followed over the next four months…...

3+ week, 15+ hour ago  (474+ words) There's a debate emerging in the research community that deserves more attention from anyone who relies on public opinion data. In a New York Times essay published yesterday, Leif Weatherby and Benjamin Recht challenge the growing use of "silicon sampling…...

4+ week, 2+ day ago  (689+ words) There isn't much movement in our latest federal tracking, but that's kind of the point. After a few waves where things were shifting in the Liberals' favour, this one looks more like a pause. The overall structure of opinion hasn't…...

1+ mon, 1+ day ago  (457+ words) This Sunday, the federal NDP will choose a new leader. Ahead of that, I fielded a national survey to understand how Canadians see the party today. Not how it used to be seen, but how it is actually understood right…...

1+ mon, 2+ day ago  (490+ words) Last week, Pierre Poilievre did something Canadian politicians don't often do. He stepped into a very different kind of media environment and sat down with Joe Rogan for a long, unscripted conversation. I wanted to understand what, if anything, that…...

1+ mon, 4+ day ago  (618+ words) We just released new polling on AI data centres, and what struck me most isn't that Canadians have strong views. It's that they don't. At least not yet. On the surface, the country looks split. About four in ten think…...

1+ mon, 1+ week ago  (1215+ words) If Avi Lewis wins the NDP leadership on March 29 that many expect him to, I think one of the most important analytical questions to ask is whether the political conditions in Canada are compatible with the kind of politics he…...

2+ mon, 5+ day ago  (119+ words) Welcome to David Coletto's Polling Lab: Insights, observations, and public opinion data on Canadian politics, public policy, & society. I ask people questions for a living and love it. Chair & CEO of Abacus Data. Professor at Carleton University Is Consumerism Running…...