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News
Iceland To Hold EU Referendum Amid Changing Geopolitical Realities
17+ hour, 53+ min ago (145+ words) RANE Worldview Iceland's referendum on reopening EU accession negotiations demonstrates the growing attractiveness of EU membership in an increasingly volatile geopolitical and economic landscape. Icelandic accession would give the bloc a stronger North Atlantic and Arctic presence. On Aug. 29, Iceland…...
Multipolarity Will Muddle the Middle East's Defensive Alliances
18+ hour, 50+ min ago (144+ words) RANE Worldview On Aug. 7, the world welcomed yet another defensive alliance onto the map, this one between Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. However, their newly minted Mecca Joint Defense Agreement has been fraught with incohesion from its outset: Turkey cares…...
Kazakhstan Parliamentary Election Solidifies President's Rule
1+ day, 14+ hour ago (151+ words) RANE Worldview The results of Kazakhstan's parliamentary election formalize an already consolidated personalist political order and likely augur an early presidential vote within the next 12 months, which would ensure short-term policy continuity but would not resolve the succession question, leaving…...
Rolling Blackouts Spark Protests Across Tunisia and Western Libya
2+ day, 35+ min ago (168+ words) RANE Worldview Tunisia and Libya will likely experience recurring summer electricity shortages over the next several years, causing slower economic growth and intermittent unrest in Tunisia and anti-government criticism and protests in Libya, though neither crisis is likely to produce…...
Malaysia's Anwar Unlikely To Risk Early Vote After State Election Setbacks
4+ day, 20+ hour ago (20+ words) RANE Worldview Get access to RANE's decision-grade geopolitical intelligence....
The Future of Moroccan and Algerian Defense Policy
5+ day, 16+ hour ago (155+ words) RANE Worldview The Future of Moroccan and Algerian Defense Policy In the coming years, Morocco will likely narrow some of its conventional and technological capability gaps with Algeria, though it will remain the smaller force. As it does, Algiers will…...
Nigeria Braces for Another Heated Election Campaign
5+ day, 15+ hour ago (16+ words) RANE Worldview Get access to RANE's decision-grade geopolitical intelligence....
What Happens Now That the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding Has Expired
6+ day, 18+ hour ago (165+ words) RANE Worldview In the coming weeks, Iran is likely to sustain a calibrated pressure campaign to try to force U.S. concessions, but a likely U.S. refusal will lead to a growing risk of wider escalation even as another interim deal remains a…...
Brazil's Next President Will Struggle To Stem Rising Debt
6+ day, 21+ hour ago (146+ words) RANE Worldview Brazil's next president will struggle to implement a significant fiscal adjustment that addresses the country's growing debt-to-GDP ratio due to budget rigidities and limited legislative influence, thereby increasing the risk of broader financial instability over time. Brazil will…...
Assessing the Fallout of Trump's Order To Reduce U.S.-South Korea Military Drills
1+ week, 14+ hour ago (163+ words) RANE Worldview U.S. President Donald Trump's abrupt order to reduce U.S.-South Korean military exercises reflects his renewed interest in North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and widening disputes with Seoul, which will make alliance coordination more turbulent as South Korea strengthens…...