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News
Cold War 2.0 Will Be Won by Private Capital
15+ hour, 30+ min ago (1310+ words) This article was originally produced under The Cipher Brief. It is republished here at the request of the author, who is an advisor for the Irregular Warfare Initiative's Economic & Legal Warfare Focus Area. The next Arsenal of Democracy will be…...
Russian Psychological Operations and Informational Warfare in the Middle East and North Africa
4+ day, 6+ hour ago (170+ words) Russian Information Channels and Strategy in the Middle East Russian Goals and Targeting in Palestine Russia has three primary goals with its informational warfare campaigns in Palestine: the framing of antisemitism, U.S. foreign policy failure, and U.S. overreach of power. Many of…...
Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects — Part XI
4+ day, 5+ hour ago (318+ words) In Part Eleven of Irregular Warfare Initiativeâs special series on the conflict with Iran, presented by the Economic & Legal Warfare Team, Hamlet Yousef (IWI Economic & Legal Warfare Advisor) and Ioannis (Gianni) Koskinas (CEO, Hoplite Group) are joined by special…...
Hidden Costs of Precision
4+ day, 20+ hour ago (204+ words) How do drone strikes shape civilian behavior? Episode 164 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast explores research using 12 billion cell phone records from Yemen, revealing civilian displacement on par with natural disasters, and discusses what this means for the strategic logic of…...
IW Weekly - 30 August 2026
6+ day, 16+ hour ago (946+ words) Arctic contestation dominates the week: NATO's "kill web" tests above the GIUK Gap, Russia's fishing-fleet push for Arctic maritime power, the "Ground Station Gap," and renewed warnings on lagging U.S. Arctic readiness all point to a fifth theater opening faster than…...
Russian Intelligence, Europe, and Putin’s Secret War
1+ week, 18+ hour ago (55+ words) How does Russia use intelligence operations to shape the political and security environment before, alongside, and below the threshold of open conflict — and how can Europe and its transatlantic partners deny those efforts' strategic effect? We hope you enjoy it....
What Iran's Crypto Insurance Proposal Means for Irregular Warfare and Shipping in Asia
1+ week, 6+ day ago (388+ words) Western-led Sanctions vs. Iranian Kinetic Force Western sanctions have made a significant dent in Iran’s economic output by targeting oil exports. However, Southeast Asian countries have suffered from these downstream effects. Entities like Asian shipping companies, commodity traders, and maritime…...
Pakistan’s Nuclear Arsenal is Becoming More Vulnerable
2+ week, 2+ day ago (74+ words) The Buffers are Weakening Pressures on Pakistan’s Nuclear System Prevention is the Only Option Main image is Pakistan’s nuclear capable Nasr missile system at a parade in 2016, taken from Wikimedia Commons. If you value reading the Irregular Warfare Initiative, please…...
Why Iranian Propaganda Is Getting Uncomfortably Good
2+ week, 3+ day ago (349+ words) Familiarity shaped perceptions from the outset. The Lego aesthetic evoked nostalgia and playfulness before the political framing fully emerged. By the time videos shifted toward escalation, corruption, retaliation, or suffering, viewers already entered the material through recognizable visual cues. Humor…...
AI in Cyber Conflict: Short-term Offensive Opportunities, Long-term Defensive Advantage
3+ week, 2+ day ago (132+ words) AI Enhances Efficiency but not Effectiveness The reason why HuggingFace quickly detected OpenAI’s rogue agent was the spray-gun approach the model took of attempting to detect and exploit vulnerabilities at scale with 17,600 actions executed within four days. AI models far…...