News
Republicans Need Their Situation to Improve. Right Now, Trump isn't Helping
3+ hour, 46+ min ago (848+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball For more information about the panel and how to attend, see here. " While it would not be accurate to say Donald Trump's approval rating is collapsing, he has suffered additional erosion since launching attacks on Iran…...
Another Big Night for Democrats: Tuesday's Wisconsin and Georgia Results
21+ hour ago (612+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball For more information about the panel and how to attend, see here. " Tuesday night's Wisconsin Supreme Court election did not seem all that competitive compared to past contests, and that ended up being the case, as…...
From Blockbusters to Boring? Previewing Wisconsin's 2026 state Supreme Court race
1+ week, 10+ hour ago (466+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball " Compared to its past few contests, Wisconsin's 2026 state Supreme Court race seems unusually quiet. " Part of the reason for the calm this year could be that liberals are set to retain control of the 7-member court…...
Oh, Canada? How Trump has Changed Canada's Politics, and How It Already Differed from the United States
1+ week, 1+ day ago (1729+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball " Structurally, Canadian politics is far different from U. S. politics, and those differences filter down into electoral patterns. " These differences include Canada's parliamentary system, its multi-party structure, the separation of its federal and provincial parties, and its linguistic…...
The House: 11 Rating Changes in Democratic-Held Seats; Non-Presidential Party Typically Doesn't Lose Many of Their Own Seats in Midterms
2+ week, 3+ hour ago (838+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball " Because the presidential party usually loses ground in the House in midterms, it is also the case that they typically flip only a handful of seats from the non-presidential party in such elections. " Still, Republicans have…...
Getting Deeper into Texas and North Carolina's Primaries
4+ week, 5+ hour ago (697+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball " In Texas, Rep. Wesley Hunt's (R, TX-38) presence in the GOP Senate primary likely hurt Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) on balance. " However, Hunt's performance was not distinctively strong anywhere in the state, as he even came…...
It Wouldn't Take Much for 2026 to be a Big Year for House Incumbent Primary Defeats
1+ mon, 6+ day ago (388+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball " The primary season begins Tuesday night, and several sitting House members are facing credible primary opposition. " Typically, only a handful of House incumbents lose renomination in a given year. " In the postwar era, only about an…...
Center Honors Pelosi with Defender of Democracy Award
1+ mon, 1+ week ago (148+ words) The forum is available here: Pelosi, a Democrat representing California's 11th Congressional District based in San Francisco, is serving her final term in the House after first being elected in a 1987 special election. Pelosi became the first woman to serve as…...
What to Watch for in the Texas Primaries
1+ mon, 1+ week ago (541+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball " Next week's Texas primaries are the main event for the kickoff of the national primary season. The Republican Senate race, though, appears very likely to go to a runoff. " The Democratic Senate contest, meanwhile, could also…...
One-Party Dominance in the States: Only a Few Have Party Diversity Among Their Statewide Officeholders
1+ mon, 1+ week ago (1225+ words) Search Sabato's Crystal Ball In today's Crystal Ball, Senior Columnist Louis Jacobson writes a piece that reminds us of the work Rhodes regularly published for us'a big-picture look at the growing one-party dominance of statewide offices. ' In 41 of the 50 states,…...